Is the F1 title down to Vettel or Alonso? Button thinks so

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With just six races remaining in the 2012 Formula 1 season, the battle for the driver’s title is down to Sebastian Vettel and Fernando Alonso — at least according to Jenson Button.

Button says so in this piece by the BBC, but he also acknowledges there are still some guys with a “long shot” chance.

A driver could win all the races outright and grab 150 points, but the key as always would be how the rest of the field does. Thinking it through that way, realistically it seems these six drivers have that “long shot” or better:

Fernando Alonso, Ferrari, 194

Sebastian Vettel, Red Bull, 165

Kimi Raikkonen, Lotus, 149

Lewis Hamilton, McLaren, 143

Mark Webber, Red Bull, 132

Jenson Button, McLaren, 119

The next driver is Nico Rosberg, who is sitting at 93 points. It’s hard to imagine anyone gaining a full 100-plus points on Alonso at this point.

Kimi sort of stands out, doesn’t he? He’s the only one of these drivers who hasn’t won — at least twice. But he’s firmly in there. Perhaps consistency will rule the day? If he could pull a podium in Japan and have Alonso not score points, he’d be about a race win back.

I’m looking at the remaining races — Japan, Korea, India, Snoozeville Abu Dhabi, the U.S. and Brazil — and trying to figure out if anyone seems to have an edge, based on past races. Maybe Seb? But the U.S. track is a wildcard, and perhaps Korea and India still are to a great extent, too.

Does that add up to a free-for-all still, or is Jenson right?

 

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